The polls overall margin for error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, but questions asked of only Democrat or Republican primary voters had larger margins of error. In addition to the 2012 N.R.A. The cash on hand is significant in that it allows me to reach out to voters statewide on the very serious issues facing Hawaii. Read this story for free: Watch an ad or complete a survey, Hawaii lieutenant governors race deadlocked, Voters give Ige and Biden approval boost, Hawaii Poll shows, Misdemeanor probe into Honolulu police union leadership forwarded to state Attorney General, Hawaii Real Estate Sales: June 13 June 17, 2022. Hanabusa left Congress in 2018 to run against incumbent Gov. Nov. 9, 2022, With more counties nearly finished counting, things keep looking better for Lt. Gov. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Read more Our average includes all candidates that. Compared with 2020 presidential vote in places that have reported almost all of their Telephone: 808-529-4747. 500 Ala Moana Blvd. Exit Polls Hawaii Updated 4:40 PM EST, Tue November 8, 2022 Sen. Brian E. Schatz is running for reelection in Hawaii. Incumbent. Ruth Igielnik We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. I care about people. that guide every prediction he makes. Theres a crowded Republican field, too, which includes former Lt. Gov. Log in now to continue reading this story. Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. Hawaii Midterm Election 2022, a state guide to help plan your vote, including key dates, voting info, and Primary results for Republican and Democratic candidates as the countdown to November 8th . Approvals still high for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race. (Hawaii News Now) Green's support was most pronounced among Hawaii voters 50 and up some 54%. . . 99% Est. Democratic Rep. Andy Kim is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help in the closing week of the campaign. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. Hawaii Governor. Vote Counted. The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. A lot of nations, especially advanced democracies, let voters go to the polls on weekends, when voting doesnt have to compete with work schedules. While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. campaign launch", "Ikaika Anderson receives key endorsement, Sylvia Luke has most in race for lieutenant governor", "Hawaii police officers' union endorses former councilman in Lt. Gov. But his medical background became an asset when the pandemic began and Mr. Ige named him the states coronavirus liaison. View Hawaii's election results and maps for the 2022 midterm elections. BJ Penn an Ultimate Fighting Champion Hall of Famer followed Aiona, with 26% of the Republican voters polled choosing him. With each debate appearance, Vicky has established herself as the clear choice between the status quo and a new vision to address our problems of affordable housing, cost of living, climate change, our children fleeing for the mainland.. Ballots were expected to be cast largely by mail, since Hawaii moved to universal mail voting in 2019. Lazaro Gamio North Carolina Senate. Of the Democrats who recognize Greens name, a whopping 65% had a favorable opinion of him. In Indiana, a House race in the 1st district leans Democratic, but, if the seat were to flip, it could be an early sign of a red wave. endorsement, pro-Branco ads attacked Ms. Tokuda for opposing a 2015 bill that would have banned pesticide spraying around Hawaii schools. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. , Kim Schrier, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Washingtons Eighth Congressional District. Polls in Hawaii close at 7 p.m. local time (1 a.m. Eastern time). Alicia Parlapiano Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. According to the poll, Green also has strong support across Hawaiis largest ethnic groups, including those who identify as Caucasians, Japanese and Filipinos. Honolulu, HI 96813 On the Republican side, Kona business consultant Paul Morgan raised $6,300 and reported $4,092 in cash on hand. After its voters turned out at the lowest rate of any state about 39 percent in the 2018 general election, lawmakers switched the state to universal mail voting. In a filing Wednesday, Lake's The primary drew a large amount of outside spending for a relatively off-the-radar House race. Polls are now closed in Hawaii. Lazaro Gamio Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Send us an email. , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state who has confronted repeated harassment from far-right election deniers, won re-election to her post in Michigan. Nov. 9, 2022, More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. November 5, 2024. Senator Michael Bennet of Colorado, a Democrat, was elected to a third term, holding off a strong challenge from a Republican newcomer. Alicia Parlapiano Looking at the demographic breakdown, Aiona tends to appeal to older voters and conservative voters while Penn supporters tend to be younger and moderate. Hawaiis comparatively low infection rate drew many wealthy remote workers from the mainland, exacerbating the states existing shortage of affordable housing a crisis that, like the pandemic, has hit Native Hawaiians especially hard. , Brandon Williams, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 22nd Congressional District. U.S. Senate In the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary with 94 percent of the vote. Theres still a long way to go before the Aug. 13 primary and even longer to the Nov. 8 general election and anything could happen. Army veteran Lynn Mariano took in no contributions and had a negative balance of $176. Copyright 2023 StarAdvertiser.com. We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. Senator Brian Schatz, a Democratic incumbent, is running for re-election and has no serious opposition in his primary. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. Republicans have won in four of five New York tossup seats, and the Republican candidate is ahead in the fifth. Heres how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates. Copyright 2022 Hawaii News Now. The filing deadline was June 7, 2022. Lazaro Gamio , Elissa Slotkin, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Michigans Seventh Congressional District. Were getting results from five states where voters are deciding whether to legalize marijuana. North Carolina's 2nd District. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials. Governor Josh Green, left, campaigning with his family Saturday in Honolulu. Representative Tom Malinowski, a second-term incumbent, conceded his race for re-election to his Republican opponent, Tom Kean Jr. Green won the election with 63.2% of the vote with Aiona receiving 36.8% of the vote.[1][2]. As of Aug. 10, about 234,000 ballots had already been returned, according to Hawaiis Office of Elections. Thats not what Kirk Caldwell does, Milner said. Chris Deluzio, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Pennsylvanias 17th Congressional District. Mandela Barnes, and there is a close contest for governor. , Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, a Democrat, won a tough re-election campaign, beating Blake Masters, a Trump-backed venture capitalist. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Around the world, the choice to hold elections on Tuesdays may be more of an outlier. Lt. Gov. The last time a Republican presidential candidate carried the state was 1984. This is going to be very challenging, based on what these poll results show.. Sergio Alcubilla, attorney and former director of external relations, Tommy Waters, Honolulu city councilmember and chair, Hawaii Regional Council of Carpenters (HRCC), Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Hawaii, United Public Workers, AFSCME, Local 646, AFL-CIO, General Contractors Association of Hawaii, Lynn Barry Mariano, retired Army Officer and Civil Servant, Paul Morgan, business consultant and former member of the, Peter Savio, businessperson and real estate developer, State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, police union, This page was last edited on 17 February 2023, at 23:45. and Pa., competitive state races with consequences for abortion remain too close to call. Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022 When polls close As vaccines were becoming widely available in the spring of 2021, a poll conducted by two Hawaii news organizations, Honolulu Civil Beat and Hawaii News Now, found that Mr. Green had a 63 percent approval rating. Last edited on 17 February 2023, at 23:45, 2022 United States gubernatorial elections, Speaker of the Hawaii House of Representatives, running for Hawaii's 1st congressional district, State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, "Hawaii Governor: Josh Green Easily Defeats Duke Aiona", "Believe it or not, race to replace Gov. Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022, The feared Democratic collapse along the Rio Grande didnt materialize. On the Republican side, 269 primary voters were polled, and the margin of error was plus or minus 6 percentage points. They both want Congress to codify the rights Roe v. Wade used to protect and to repeal the Hyde Amendment, which bans federal funding for most abortions. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. If somehow Caldwell could turn that around, especially with rail hanging over him, that would be amazing.. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter registration by county. There's a crowded Republican field, too, which includes former Lt. Gov. He would have to offend a lot of voters who already say they support him. I typically dont offer analysis on solid races so I can spend more Penns name recognition is enormous among Republican voters. Abortion rights were put to the test in the midterm elections. According to a new Civil. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. , Susie Lee, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas Third Congressional District. In a statement to the Star- Advertiser, Penn said: We have tremendous confidence in the people of Hawaii. As of July, Hawaii was the most expensive state in the nation to live in. The overall headline here is he (Green) does really well with everybody and even with Republicans, said political analyst Neal Milner. Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, is facing a strong challenge from the Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka. Pre-registration is available beginning at age 16. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. How he presents himself in the campaign is important, but people already like him. Marco Rubio, Republican of Florida, wins re-election to the U.S. Senate. A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. Greg Abbott brushed off a well-funded challenge from Beto ORourke, winning a third term as Texas governor. Cisco Aguilar, a Democratic lawyer, defeated Jim Marchant, a leading promoter of election conspiracy theories, in the race to be Nevadas secretary of state. Were getting results for ballot measures related to abortion and reproductive rights in Kentucky, Michigan and Vermont. Our internal poll numbers show our base of support is growing, and we will continue to work hard at getting our message out , she said. The Hawaii Poll was conducted Jan. 24 to 28 by telephone by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C. The Hawaii Polls separate survey of only Democratics who are likely to vote in the primary suggests there is ground to be gained for Cayetano and Caldwell. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Josh Green, Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. It is with a grateful heart that we express our fondest mahalo nui loa for your vote and support of our campaign!. Follow along after polls close. We're tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and crunching the numbers. Heres what the vote count could look like this year. Josh Green continues to enjoy a commanding lead in the Democratic primary race for governor, while Congressman Kai Kahele and businesswoman Vicky Cayetano are in a distant second and third place, respectively. Fishermen find remains of missing man inside shark, Man arrested after search warrant executed at Waikiki cannabis kiosk, SD Senate committee defeats petition signature requirement bill, Two bills aimed at protecting landowners from over-intrusion by carbon pipeline builders died today in a senate committee, SD Republican lawmakers want to expand school choice, 'The Other Side of Paradise' with Lynn Kawano, KHNLPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KGMBPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KFVEPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KSIXPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KOGGPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246. Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California. The race has drawn more than a million dollars in outside spending, mostly on behalf of Mr. Branco. Its early days for Vicky Cayetano, but she has her work cut out for her for sure, Moore said. Seth Magaziner, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Rhode Islands Second Congressional District. Nov. 8, 2022, The Timess election forecast is now running. My opponents have spent years in public office, yet these same issues cost of housing, undermanaged tourism, an economic recovery plan remain even more critical today., When it comes to former Mayor Caldwell and his approval numbers, Moore said, It wouldnt surprise me if he decided not to run. Nov. 8, 2022. . . You're reading a premium story. Nov. 9, 2022, Democrats and Republicans each need to win three more competitive Senate seats to win control of the chamber (in addition to the races they are expected to win most easily). In third place is City Councilwoman Heidi Tsuneyoshi at 9%. , Brad Raffensperger, Republican, is re-elected as Georgias secretary of state. Nov. 10, 2022, More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. Cayetano said theres time for her to gain support before the first votes are cast. See the rest of our predictions. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. Nov. 10, 2022, Support for the abortion proposal was stronger than support for reelected Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, in 76 of the states 83 counties. Along the Rio Grande didnt materialize Grande didnt materialize drawn more than a million dollars in spending! Michigan and Vermont maps as they come out, and the Republican candidate Kari Lake Ultimate! Rep. 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